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3rd Quarter 2009 CEO Survey Results– Strategy & Outpacing your Competitors in the Recovery

Strategy for Innovation

Every few months we survey the innovation-stage community of CEOs with the goal of leveraging our C-level relationships as executive recruiters to generate collective wisdom to share back.    We hope below you find insights that help to run your companies more strategically.

In August, we surveyed our CEO community and had more than 60 CEOs participate.  Thanks to all who contributed.   The theme of this survey was centered around whether a different strategy is required to succeed post-recovery than that which was in place pre-recession.  These CEOs came from those practice areas in which we focus, and included broad based technology companies in the media, software, mobile and telecom sectors, Biotechnology, medical devices, and cleantech / renewable energy.

Innovation-stage CEO survey

The 60-plus participating companies were spread across the growth-stage spectrum, ranging from pre-revenue through profitable/shipping product, most being seed-funded through post-Series C, as well as private equity-backed–

Innovation-stage CEO Survey, September, 2009

To set the stage for the survey questions, when asked when CEOs were expecting the recovery to materially reach their companies, the results were still quite bearish, with more than 50% responding Q2 2010 or later–

growth-stage/ VC-backed CEO survey

Although entrepreneurs are supposed to be eternal optimists, when asked what sort of recovery CEOS expected, again, the majority picked the worst of the alternatives, with more than half opting for a “W” recovery (in graphical terms, a double dip, with the last year starting September 2008 to now equalling the first “u” of the “W,” and another anticipated dip between now and Q2 2010 or later.  Almost as bearish, 28% of CEOs chose an “L” recovery, indicating that they felt “recovery” was really better defined as a flatting out of the downward trendline, but no corresponding upward rebound–

growth-stage/ VC-backed CEO survey

The next several survey questions focused on business strategy.  58% of CEOs indicated that they were not planning on pursuing the same strategy after the recession than before–

growth-stage/ VC-backed CEO survey

In executing on their strategies, CEOs responded somewhat intuitively that sales & business development functions would be two of the most important executive level functions that would help them in executing successfully post-recovery.  Somewhat less intuitively, the third most important functional area ranked was product development–

growth-stage/ VC-backed CEO survey

The last strategy question posed to CEOs was whether - if a majority of the CEOs were executing on a different strategy in post-recovery than pre-recession – did CEOs feel that the same executive team they had could execute effectively on both.  More than a third of CEOs surveyed indicated, no, their current executive teams were not the right teams for their new post-recovery strategies.

growth-stage/ VC-backed CEO survey

As for their companies’ financial condition, 60% CEOs responding indicated they were still burning cash, 15% were cash flow break-even, and 25% were running their companies in cash positive position–

Innovation-stage CEO Survey, September 2009

And answering the perennial question as to whether CEOs were planning on raising equity capital in the near future, slightly more than half responded in the affirmative–

Innovation-stage CEO Survey, September, 2009

In conclusion, the survey pointed up the fact that innovation-stage companies are still very cautious around the economic forecast, have recast their strategies as different from pre-recession in preparation for the recovery, but still have some retooling to do within their executive teams to optimize the chances of outstripping their competitors in 2010.

Thanks again to the CEOs who participated.  Knowledge is power.  Collective knowledge is actionable.

CEO Peer Survey, August 2009 — Preparing for Recovery?

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Below is the hyperlink to our latest CEO peers “speed-survey,” exclusively for growth-stage CEOs.  Topic– “Preparing for Recovery?”

http://surveys.polldaddy.com/s/D3642F14267CCC14/

We at BSG Team Ventures periodically take the temperature of the markets we serve. This speed survey is no more than 10 questions, simple multiple-choice.

Knowledge is power.  Aggregated peer-provided knowledge is “actionable power.”

We make an effort to survey only those who fit the category (in this case, sitting CEOs or board member/founders of technology/science-driven growth-stage companies). [Note, if you don't fit the aforementioned description, please refrain from responding.]

Feel free to forward to the qualified CEOs in your sphere of influence.  The more data generated, the more accurate the trend lines.

All responses are anonymous due to the web-based survey technology employed.

We will forward the survey results within the next two weeks to the email address on file.  Please let us know if there is another email address you wish us to send the results to as well.

Most Common Reasons Why CEOs Fail– Venture Capital’s Perspective

After quite a bit of discussion was sparked on an earlier blog post in March around the 7 Reasons why early and growth-stage CEOs fail (http://www.bostonsearchgroup.com/blog/7-reasons-ceos-fail/ )in technology-driven innovation-stage companies, we thought we’d get the venture capital perspective.  Below are the results.  The two biggest reasons behind CEO failure revolved around a CEO’s inability to balance revenues and burn-rate (23%), tied with the CEO’s inability to hire well at the VP level, with repeat VP-level failure/turnover (also ~23%).  The balance of forced ranking of CEO failure include categories such as–

- New CEO didn’t integrate with rest of incumbent team

- Business model changed (different horses for different courses)

- Leadership fatigue (plateauing company for too long a period)

- CEO “Peter Principle,” and

- CEO getting sideways with Board of Director(s)/ board chemistry

vc-survey-graphic-results-march-2009-why-ceos-fail1

More on VC-backed CEO Survey asking about “Recession-Proofing” for 2009

Here is the balance of the survey responses from the VC-backed CEO survey we administered at the end of December 2008 into the first week of January 2009, both responses and a bit of interpretation.

Given survey responses, it appears the bell curve peak is in the 20-40% reduction in headcount.  The group of CEOs who indicated these reductions were approximately half of the 60 CEO respondents.

  • •    40% or more staff reductions? ~ 10% of total CEOs surveyed
  • •    Less than 20% staff reductions? ~ About 17% of all CEO respondents

Winner on this question was “more than 9 months,” with more than 40% of the CEOs.  Runners-up were the “0-to-6 months of cash” CEOs, evenly split with 25% saying 3 to 6 months, and another 25% saying “less than 3 months.”  What this may indicate is that there is a bimodal distribution of funding in the market –those who are well-funded, with 9 months or more, and those companies who are running out of cash (popular definition = less than 6 months of cash remaining).  This is reinforced by the fact that very few companies responded that they had 7-9 months of cash (less than 10% of companies).  Therefore, one might imagine that those companies who are shortest on cash are also those who are making the deepest cuts in staffing.  In addition, that there may be another round of cuts in store for those low-cash companies if they can’t get another round closed soon.

Top implied answer here?   Don’t raise a venture round in 2009.  And this is what the largest slug of CEOs responded with (33%).  Of those who are going to try to raise in 2009,

  • •    one-third of CEOs see a flat round
  • •    16% feel they’ll get an up round
  • •    and almost half (45%) are predicting a down round

Winner for this question shows some great optimism however, with about 1/3 each of the CEOs responding answering with either “revenues up 1 to 25%”  or “Up more than 50%.”

There was an intentional effort to get a fairly even distribution of venture-backed CEO respondents for this survey, to try to avoid sector bias.  We were fortunate to have at least 10% (6 or more companies) from each of life sciences / biotech, medical devices, and the cleantech sectors.  Software/Internet/telecom was the largest category represented, with 42% of CEOs hailing from this sector.

BONUS SLIDE

Q: If YOU could survey your peer CEOs, what question(s) are both urgent AND important to running your business you’d like us to consider asking in future polls?

This was one of the most rewarding questions for which to see the responses.  Fully half of the CEOs polled had a question they’d like to pose to their peers, and some CEOs had several.  Below is a partial list of questions we’ll choose from in follow-on surveys.  If any of those CEOs would like to respond individually to any of the questions below, feel free to post a comment on this blog entry and we’ll post it for public consumption (clustered by general question subcategory as well as by industry sector).  Of course, the winning question asked by one of you CEOs, just to validate that venture capital-backed CEOs are-if anything-self-aware, pragmatic, and not fatally over-optimistic:

“What will CEOs do if their company fails?!”
1.   Cost-related questions

  • •    Approaches or success stories in restructuring debt to the company’s advantage.
  • •    Is it better to reduce headcount 20%, go to a 4-day work week, or reduce salaries by 20%?
  • •    In addition to headcount reductions (if any), what type of expenses are you reducing?  Are you delaying new projects/initiatives?  How have investors reacted to this?
  • •    Will you consider outsourcing some of your product development to make cost variable, at the expense of some know-how then being outside the company?

2.    Sales/Marketing/Revenue-related questions

  • •    How are you using the economic downturn to improve your business position/model?
  • •    What are you going to spend more money on in 2009 than in 2008?
  • •    What changes in the sales cycle are you seeing in the last 6months, 2 months, currently?  What does the resultant trend point to for 2009 and what actions are you taking in response?
  • •    How has your visibility into the level of future business changed in the last 3-6 months?Asked another way – what level of confidence do you have in your current forecast of business?
  • •    (1) What emphasis do you place on marketing in your organization? (2) What do you consider the top 3 most important elements of marketing to be?
  • •    How will you as CEO deal with longer term rate issues if you are a service business as it seems all labor rates are being pushed down?
  • •    The number one reason why clients buy your product is? (cost, quality, service, other?)

3.    Funding/exit/valuation questions

  • •    Are you finding lending lines out there?
  • •    If an acquirer made an offer to buy your company today, but at a multiple less than what it would be in a strong economy, would you consider it, or wait until the economy improves so you could get a higher valuation?
  • •    Are you considering merging your company with another? Are you looking at merger partners as a legitimate exit option in 2009?
  • •    Are you looking to current investors or new investors for additional rounds of financing?

4.    Board of Directors/investor-related questions

  • •    How will venture capital investing change in 2009?
  • •    What is your satisfaction with your Board’s ability to fundraise in the future? (I think the current environment highlights a board’s function as protector of value through fundraising and too few board members are good at it)?
  • •    Compensation for outside board members?

5.    Staffing/talent questions

  • •    How are you balancing full time versus contract employees?
  • •    How are you retaining employees during these tough times?
  • •    What kind of retention ideas have you considered to make sure your key folks don’t bail for a more stable environment?
  • •    What skills are you as CEO still looking to hire?
  • •    What do you do to conserve cash? attract customers?
  • •    How many of you CEOs have proposed reducing people to part time levels and adding equity compensation instead of releasing them all together?

6.    Economy-related questions

  • •    When do you predict the market conditions to take a turn for the better?

There a few industry-specific questions CEOs wanted to ask their peer as well:

Life sciences/biotech-related questions

  • •    What kind of deal structures are you seeing in liquidity-directed partnerships? What kind of partnerships, if any, are you envisioning for discovery stage assets?

Medical devices-related questions

  • •    How do you expect reimbursement to be influenced during the next administration?

VC-backed CEO Survey– Recession-proofing for ‘09?

With everyone in the growth-stage tech and sciences sector battening down the hatches in advance of the continued buffeting the innovation sector is expecting in 2009, we launched an online survey of VC-backed CEOs to take the temperature.   Suffice it to say, the answers, not counter-intuitive, were all various versions of “cold.”

A total of about 60 CEOs responded over the last 10 days, across various industry sectors, more than 90% of respondents located in the Northeast U.S.

The first question and responses show that almost half of the companies have already taken preemptive downsizing measures.  It appears that more than 40% of venture-backed CEOs in their leadership wisdom have already in the last several months made adjustments.  And 10% more are looking to do so in the next 30 days or so.

The question that wasn’t asked but we’ll try to do a follow up around is, “When would you make a second round of cuts, and what economic or other indicators would you look at and need to see move more negatively to make these cuts?”

In a quick analysis, given survey responses, it appears the bell curve peak is in the 20-40% reduction in headcount.  The group of CEOs who indicated these reductions were approximately half of the 60 CEO respondents.

  • 40% or more staff reductions? ~ 10% of total CEOs surveyed

•    Less than 20% staff reductions? ~ About 17% of all CEO respondents