Sciences Archives

Subscribe to the Sciences RSS feed.

CEO Survey Results–Innovation-stage companies, March-April 2009

We’ve just compiled the results from the most recent CEO survey we sent to our Rolodex of CEO relationships.  The theme for this survey was a combination of economy-oriented questions like “What three cost reductions are you planning” and  “Do you continue to anticipate further staff reductions,” to following results to the opposite question, “What are you spending more on this year than last?”–

what-ceos-spend-more-on-in-2009-than-08

Great feedback and insights were provided by all, and thanks to all those who participated.  Below are the slides of the responses, along with some of the content of the responses to questions like “What questions would you like to ask your peer CEOs if given the opportunity?”

When it comes to prognostications as to when the recession will end for innovation-stage companies these CEOs are leading, there was an overwhelming opinion that we still aren’t out of the woods, with more than 60% voting that it won’t be until 2010.

ceos-predict-time-for-market-rebound

CEOs who responded were overwhelmingly venture-capital backed (~60%), with the balance of CEO respondents spread pretty evenly between private-equity backed, bootstrapped, and angel-funded.

invested-capital-structures-ceo-survey1

When CEOs responded to the question of what other cost cuts outside of staffing they felt were the most likely, the top 3 responses were:

1)     Delaying specific new project or product development

2)     Outsourcing of key responsibilities (development, testing, sales, etc.) to make variable that cost, and

3)     Reduction of cash compensation for staff, replaced by more equity (options or other stock grants)

As for other areas CEOs were considering cutting, or other ways in which CEOs are considering burn-rate reduction, these included the following:

  • – External legal and accounting fees
  • – Eliminate bonus and reduce benefits
  • – Delaying office expansion
  • – We made adjustments in Q4 2008. We are judiciously incrementing investment as traction increases in 2009. We have already added headcount.
  • – Taking-on contract-development work to keep developers attached
  • - Salary freeze

ceos-3-most-popular-cost-reductions-09

When CEOs were queried as to the potential for further reduction to headcount in Q2 2009, three-quarters of them responded “No,” which was an encouraging sign that they feel that perhaps the bottom of the economic miniscus had been hit.

ceos-considering-headcount-cuts-q2-2009

For the 25% or so who said that they were indeed considering more staffing cuts, more than half of these CEOs were looking at staff reductions of less than 20%.

ceo-planned-headcount-reductions-for-092

When CEOs were asked what questions they’d like to pose to their own peers, the most popular topic was funding-related questions (38%), followed by questions about the economy (28%), staffing (17%) and burn-rate/expenses related questions (also 17%).

Some of these CEO peer questions in each category are listed below:

  • -burn rate  | How are you lowering non-core costs such as health, insurance, WC etc?
  • -burn rate   | What are companies doing for benefits. How much does the company pay, versus employee. What are innvovative ways to contain, reduce cost
  • -burn rate  | I’d want to explore issues around forecasting revenue in a non-linear world.
  • -economy   | When will you start spending money at a normal pace
  • -economy   | What are the drivers for economy to  turn around
  • -economy   | Do you think that eliminating benefits such as a 401k match or bonuses will have a significant impact on employee morale or will they be happy just to have a job?
  • -economy    | Are you able to confidently recognize the biginning of a shift back to a more positive business environment?
  • -economy/funding  | When will credit markets open and when will VCs start to invest again?
  • -funding | How does present economic situation bear on raising additional operating capital? For Series-A companies, what is likelihood of any funding becoming available in 2009?
  • -funding  | “Do you receive funding or revenue from US Govt? Have your receipts of US Govt cash increased or decreased compared to prior years? Are you counting on US Govt cash to make plan in 09?”
  • -funding  | Congress should increase funding for SBIT and STTR to $250 thousand in Phase 1 which would increase jobs immediately rather than year delay; when people get a SBIR grant they immediately spend the money hiring folks.
  • -funding  | which sources of early stage funding feel open still?  My sense:  family offices, corporate venture funds. Where is blocked?  My sense:  most VCs, Angels
  • -funding  | “How will marketing and sales budgets change in the coming year?
  • -funding | What types of fundraising options are your reviewing?
  • -funding | Are you looking at merging, selling or acquiring rather than raising equity financing?”
  • -funding  | are you cash flow positive/economically sustainable without a raise, if not when do you need to raise cash again?
  • -funding |  How have the criteria for outside venture funding/financing changed in your sector?
  • -staff |  How are you linking compensation to performance?
  • -staff |  What success have you had with outsourcing
  • -staff |  Where are the best software developers in Boston?

if-you-could-ask-your-ceo-peers

A majority of responding CEOs came from the software/internet/telecom sector (61%), while the balance were distributed across cleantech, medical devices, life sciences/Biotech, and interactive media/content/community.

industry-sector-ceo-survey-vc-tech

Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • RSS
  • Reddit
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Print

7 Reasons CEOs Fail

Executive Organization Chart

Is executive retention a problem one might ask?  From our own experiences in search, we felt it was.  Educators and consultants alike have taken a more objective and statistically relevant approach to outlining the problem. A 2001 study of executive failure done by Executive Search Information Exchange pegged the average failure rate for recruited executives in their first year at between 40% and 50%.  More recently Michael Watkins,a recognized thought leader in executive leadership and author of The First 90 Days, has revealed from his research that a staggering 58% of new executives hired from the outside fail in their new position within 18 months.

The cost of executive failure? A Mercer study estimated that it's often more than $500,000 or 2.5 times salary. And this doesn't include organizational, opportunity, productivity, and transitional costs for the new executive (Mercer et al, 1999). Including these other components of executive hiring, the calculus for fully loaded cost to the organization per failure at the executive level can top a million dollars (Fortune Magazine).

After spending a decade or more as an executive recruiter working on early & growth-stage CEO searches, it seems worthwhile to take a look-back on some of the reasons CEOs seem to fail.  In fairness, we’re a boutique firm, so the sample set isn’t hundreds of searches.  However, it’s also more than anecdotal, as for every CEO search we’ve done, there was a high probably that there were several CEOs who had already come before our search, and in doing a thorough CEO replacement search, we are students of why predecessors failed in order to ensure we don’t repeat others’ past mistakes.  Another macro observation is that these failures don’t seem to be different from practice area to practice area, or geographic region to geographic region.  We’re a multi-specialty firm, yet we don’t see that software/ Internet/ media CEOs fail for dramatically different reasons than medical device CEOs or cleantech or biotech CEOs.   Nor is there great variability when you look at CEO searches in one innovation center versus another. With presence in Boston and New England, New York and the Tri-State area, Silicon Valley/San Francisco, and London/Cambridge, England, we’ve been able to test this and haven’t witnessed much foundational difference one area versus another.

The following 7 reasons below cover the vast majority of CEO executive failures we’ve seen:

1.      Failure point #1: Founder “Peter principle.This has been well-documented by others, most notably by John Hamm, venture capitalist at VSP Capital and leadership development coach who authored a Harvard Business Review article a few years back, titled “Why Entrepreneurs Don’t Scale.”  To set up John’s observations, most of our time as executive recruiters, we focus on helping early-stage companies jump the leadership chasm from entrepreneurial to professional leadership.  More often than not, there is absolute certainty that a casualty will occur– the only question is whether that casualty will be the founder(s), or the company.   Where venture capital or private equity is involved, all is done to avoid the latter in favor of the former.  Regardless, it is too rare an occurrence when this collision between founder CEO, growth mandate, and outside investors ends positively, and if the company survives, it has to deal with the emotional baggage of shedding this first founder layer and all the pain this brings with it.   John outlines four management tendencies that work for smaller-company environments but become Achilles’ heels as these CEOs try to scale their companies. The first tendency is loyalty to founding team mates. In entrepreneurial mode, you need to lead as though you’re in charge of a combat unit on the wrong side of enemy lines where anyone on your team is a keeper. However, in larger company growth mode, blind loyalty can become a liability.  At some point, it may be required that the rest of the team that started the company with the CEO may need to be changed out for an executive team with experience at the “growth-stage” versus just the “start-up” stage.   The second tendency, task orientation, is critical in driving toward a big initial product launch, but excessive attention to detail can cause a growing organization to either suffocate under such leadership–one that can’t generate creative ideas or momentum without being instructed by the CEO–or lose sight of its long-term goals. The third tendency, single-mindedness, is important in a visionary CEO who is unleashing a revolutionary product or service on the world.  However,  this can limit the company’s potential as it grows, as all good ideas aren’t always born from one person.  In addition, often a lack of self-awareness or “emotional intelligence” can create a large blind spot around what isn’t working with the original idea, and instead of an ability to iterate to a better but related idea for the marketplace, the founder CEO can become caught up in the initial “vision” and stick to it regardless of external market input that would indicate changes to the initial value proposition are needed to capture broader market adoption. The fourth tendency, working in isolation, is fine for the brilliant scientist focused on an ingenious idea, technology or science. But it’s a non-starter for a leader whose expanding organization increasingly relies on people other than the CEO. There is also a significant difference in skill set required when the company grows beyond a single layer of management, requiring, VPs who manage directors, who may manage managers.  Managing through a multi-layer management system requires a very different managerial toolbox.  As the summary for the article outlines, “Leaders who scale deal honestly with problems and quickly weed out nonperformers. They see past distractions and establish strategic priorities. They learn how to deal effectively with diverse employees, customers, and external constituencies. And, most important, they make the company’s continuing health and welfare their top concern.”

2.      Failure point #2: Unable to “imbed” with the existing team. This is all about forging meaningful bonds, trust, and a following with the existing executive team/staff/employees as the “newcomer.”  This is most often the cause for CEO failure when an outside CEO is brought in as the first successor to the founder CEO.  We refer to it as “organ rejection.”  The host organism (the company) has a high degree of the founder CEO’s DNA in it.  That founder CEO has proven that they are a miracle worker, coming up with the idea, building it out through proof-of-concept on a shoestring budget, getting venture or other funding for the idea, that the rest of the employees who imprinted on the founder CEO “reject” the new CEO as an “imposter” or “foreign matter.”

3.      Failure point #3: Getting sideways with the board. As executive recruiters, we hear this often.  A CEO, whether founder or non-founder, doesn’t gel with the Board of Directors.  In the case of a growth-stage company, there is often outside capital involved, and investors who serve as part or all of the board of directors.  A CEO’s inability to quickly understand the drivers of each board member, and inability to build a communication bridge that may be unique to each board member, is very likely to fail, regardless of whether growth milestones are being hit or not.  One a board member loses faith in a CEO, it’s very hard to win that faith back.  Activities that often alienate a board include hiring issues (holding on to existing employees too long, or holding off on hiring into a key role, board communication issues (not sharing the bad with the good), lack of realism around budgets and burn rate and unwillingness to make the tough decisions, etc.)

4. Failure point #4: Inability to balance revenue/burn rate There is always a constant struggle between CEO and investors if the company has a net burn rate (spending more cash than revenue coming in the door).  Just last week, I heard from a venture capitalist who said that a CEO, during a board meeting, said that he was unwilling to cut the burn rate for fear of being unable to scale fast enough to meet demand once the product “got traction.”  The VC then said, “After the board meeting, I got a call from one of the other investors, expressing concern that the current CEO just didn’t understand the realities of the situation, and he felt it was time to start a search for a new CEO who did.”  Often, this is a circumstance where the CEO has come from a larger company environment, and has rarely if ever faced a situation where “out of cash,” is a literal term, versus just a euphemism for asking the parent corporation for some more capital.

5.      Failure point #5: Inability to hire well. There is an expression, “the first time, shame on you, the second time, shame on me.” This is what the board of directors often employs when a CEO can’t find the right VP level executive to successfully fill a key seat on the management team.  Often, it’s the VP Sales.  When the product is still in development, it’s often the VP Engineering.  However, if the CEO churns either of these positions with several candidates that don’t end up meeting board expectations, ultimately the board feels it’s perhaps not these VPs, but rather the CEO who needs to be changed out.  When a VP Sales commits to a revenue target, and then misses it repeatedly, often the CEO and board decide to make a change in the VP Sales.  multiple replacement in a single role, VP Sales, or VP Engineering) (blaming someone else

6.      Failure point #6: Change of business model. Part of emerging & growth stage company building is the iterative approach to finding the magic business model that takes root and thrives.  At times, founders, investors, and early team members develop a thesis on what model they’re going to chase first, and hire a CEO into that thesis.  However, as often as not, the early iterations miss their mark, and the ultimate business model that evolves as the winner is one that doesn’t play to the strengths of the earlier CEO hired.   In this eventuality, it’s much like “no fault insurance.” Neither driver is at fault, but in the best interests of the company, the earlier CEO hired needs to be changed out to make room for one better tailored for the market approach the company finally settles on as bedrock on which to scale the company.

7.      Failure point #7: Leadership fatigue.  At times, running a company turns into a grind.  The company doesn’t grow as fast as anticipated, or the magic formula for business model doesn’t materialize.  Or the executive team doesn’t come together as all wished at the beginning.  At this point, the company doesn’t fail or flame out, but nor does it continue to show healthy growth and positive direction.  Sometimes, a company grows for a bit, then plateaus and efforts to move the proverbial needle continue to fall short.  One of my favorite expressions comes to mind, “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over yet expecting a different result.”  If most all other variants and permutations have been tried, no doubt it’s possible that leadership fatigue has set in and the company is in need of a fresh horse.

There certainly are other subsidiary reasons that less often cause failure-a CEO not being technical enough to shepherd a pre-revenue start-up through early product development stages into successful commercialization, or not enough industry domain expertise in an area where a Rolodex of relationships are critical to obtaining early customer wins or market credibility.  However, for the most part, these and many other one-off failures function as exceptions to the larger CEO failure points outlined above.

One of the questions that naturally follows in exploring the most typical reasons for failure is what steps, actions, or changes can be made to optimize the probability for CEO success?  Is there “another way of doing it?”   One of the best ways we’ve found is to split the Chairman and CEO roles.  However, this is a topic for another discussion.  It’s something that’s actually done in the UK as SOP, and even out in Silicon Valley more than in Boston or New York.  We’ve executed our fair share of executive searches in each, and comparing the perspectives around leadership-sharing held by venture or private equity investors is interesting grist for further analysis.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • RSS
  • Reddit
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Print

Debunking the cleantech / greentech / renewables “industry”

As the Chair of the Ignite Clean Energy Competition (www.ignitecleanenergy.com), over the last 2 months I’ve had the opportunity to travel up and down the East Coast to Raleigh-Durham, NC/Research Triangle Park, Boston, New York City, Upstate New York (Ithaca & Rochester for Cornell and RIT), New Haven (Yale), Washington, DC, and Hanover, NH (Dartmouth), and Silicon Valley/the Bay area, not to mention several locally here in Boston (Harvard, the Clean Energy Conference, etc.)

It has been a wonderful opportunity to see whether the excitement about the renewable energy sector is as fervent in other geographies as it is here in Boston.  I’m pleased to report that in short, the answer is yes.  Students, professionals, scientists, technologists are all thinking about how they can contribute, in what ways can they lever their skills and experience to help solve the world’s energy problems.    Down in RTP, North Carolina, there were more than 130 in attendance with standing room only for a panel around renewable energy, and the ICE competition (http://www.cednc.org/event/38).   In each location we participated, there was passion & interest around fostering innovation in the cleantech sector.   One of the most popular questions that consistently comes up surrounds the uncertainty of exactly how to define the sector.  As we also have a cleantech practice area here at BSG Team Ventures, one of the better industry segmentations we’ve seen comes courtesy of www.greentechmedia.com.  For all those visual learners like me, thought it might be worth republishing here:

Genus-species in the cleantech sector

Genus-species in the cleantech sector

ICE is headed to the UK / England for yet another kick off event March 3rd at Oxford University.  And for anyone who wants to get involved as a mentor, contestant, volunteer, or potential judge, go to http://younoodle.com/groups/ignite_clean_energy_ice and join the group of sustainable energy innovators.    To get further educated and excited, visit our home page at www.bostonsearchgroup.com and click the “video tab” in the lower righthand corner for a 90-second Highlights video of last year’s ICE Finals event that took place in May, 2008, with winner FloDesign (www.flodesign.org).

Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • RSS
  • Reddit
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Print

February 2009 Growth-stage CEO Survey, preliminary results

Although only preliminary, below are the early returns on the February 2009 growth-stage CEO survey for technology & science-driven companies.  The majority of the CEOs surveyed are from venture capital-backed or institutionally funded companies.   The theme remained the economy for the February survey.  The first question was around what the prevailing sentiments were for a recovery.  Unfortunately, although perhaps not unexpectedly, less than 25% of CEOs surveyed expect the economy to improve before Q4 2009, and more than half the CEOs don’t expect the economy to shows significant signs of recovery until 2010.

Growth-stage CEO survey, guestimates on economic recovery

As CEO, when do you predict the market conditions to take a turn for the better?

When CEOs were asked whether they were still seriously considering cuts in Q2, 2009, more than 25% of the early respondents answered affirmatively.

As CEO, are you seriously considering further downsizing in Q2 2009

As CEO, are you seriously considering further downsizing in Q2 2009

We will post the rest of the survey responses in the next 10 days or so, and will include updates in the interim.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • RSS
  • Reddit
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Print

More on VC-backed CEO Survey asking about “Recession-Proofing” for 2009

Here is the balance of the survey responses from the VC-backed CEO survey we administered at the end of December 2008 into the first week of January 2009, both responses and a bit of interpretation.

Given survey responses, it appears the bell curve peak is in the 20-40% reduction in headcount.  The group of CEOs who indicated these reductions were approximately half of the 60 CEO respondents.

  • •    40% or more staff reductions? ~ 10% of total CEOs surveyed
  • •    Less than 20% staff reductions? ~ About 17% of all CEO respondents

Winner on this question was “more than 9 months,” with more than 40% of the CEOs.  Runners-up were the “0-to-6 months of cash” CEOs, evenly split with 25% saying 3 to 6 months, and another 25% saying “less than 3 months.”  What this may indicate is that there is a bimodal distribution of funding in the market –those who are well-funded, with 9 months or more, and those companies who are running out of cash (popular definition = less than 6 months of cash remaining).  This is reinforced by the fact that very few companies responded that they had 7-9 months of cash (less than 10% of companies).  Therefore, one might imagine that those companies who are shortest on cash are also those who are making the deepest cuts in staffing.  In addition, that there may be another round of cuts in store for those low-cash companies if they can’t get another round closed soon.

Top implied answer here?   Don’t raise a venture round in 2009.  And this is what the largest slug of CEOs responded with (33%).  Of those who are going to try to raise in 2009,

  • •    one-third of CEOs see a flat round
  • •    16% feel they’ll get an up round
  • •    and almost half (45%) are predicting a down round

Winner for this question shows some great optimism however, with about 1/3 each of the CEOs responding answering with either “revenues up 1 to 25%”  or “Up more than 50%.”

There was an intentional effort to get a fairly even distribution of venture-backed CEO respondents for this survey, to try to avoid sector bias.  We were fortunate to have at least 10% (6 or more companies) from each of life sciences / biotech, medical devices, and the cleantech sectors.  Software/Internet/telecom was the largest category represented, with 42% of CEOs hailing from this sector.

BONUS SLIDE

Q: If YOU could survey your peer CEOs, what question(s) are both urgent AND important to running your business you’d like us to consider asking in future polls?

This was one of the most rewarding questions for which to see the responses.  Fully half of the CEOs polled had a question they’d like to pose to their peers, and some CEOs had several.  Below is a partial list of questions we’ll choose from in follow-on surveys.  If any of those CEOs would like to respond individually to any of the questions below, feel free to post a comment on this blog entry and we’ll post it for public consumption (clustered by general question subcategory as well as by industry sector).  Of course, the winning question asked by one of you CEOs, just to validate that venture capital-backed CEOs are-if anything-self-aware, pragmatic, and not fatally over-optimistic:

“What will CEOs do if their company fails?!”
1.   Cost-related questions

  • •    Approaches or success stories in restructuring debt to the company’s advantage.
  • •    Is it better to reduce headcount 20%, go to a 4-day work week, or reduce salaries by 20%?
  • •    In addition to headcount reductions (if any), what type of expenses are you reducing?  Are you delaying new projects/initiatives?  How have investors reacted to this?
  • •    Will you consider outsourcing some of your product development to make cost variable, at the expense of some know-how then being outside the company?

2.    Sales/Marketing/Revenue-related questions

  • •    How are you using the economic downturn to improve your business position/model?
  • •    What are you going to spend more money on in 2009 than in 2008?
  • •    What changes in the sales cycle are you seeing in the last 6months, 2 months, currently?  What does the resultant trend point to for 2009 and what actions are you taking in response?
  • •    How has your visibility into the level of future business changed in the last 3-6 months?Asked another way – what level of confidence do you have in your current forecast of business?
  • •    (1) What emphasis do you place on marketing in your organization? (2) What do you consider the top 3 most important elements of marketing to be?
  • •    How will you as CEO deal with longer term rate issues if you are a service business as it seems all labor rates are being pushed down?
  • •    The number one reason why clients buy your product is? (cost, quality, service, other?)

3.    Funding/exit/valuation questions

  • •    Are you finding lending lines out there?
  • •    If an acquirer made an offer to buy your company today, but at a multiple less than what it would be in a strong economy, would you consider it, or wait until the economy improves so you could get a higher valuation?
  • •    Are you considering merging your company with another? Are you looking at merger partners as a legitimate exit option in 2009?
  • •    Are you looking to current investors or new investors for additional rounds of financing?

4.    Board of Directors/investor-related questions

  • •    How will venture capital investing change in 2009?
  • •    What is your satisfaction with your Board’s ability to fundraise in the future? (I think the current environment highlights a board’s function as protector of value through fundraising and too few board members are good at it)?
  • •    Compensation for outside board members?

5.    Staffing/talent questions

  • •    How are you balancing full time versus contract employees?
  • •    How are you retaining employees during these tough times?
  • •    What kind of retention ideas have you considered to make sure your key folks don’t bail for a more stable environment?
  • •    What skills are you as CEO still looking to hire?
  • •    What do you do to conserve cash? attract customers?
  • •    How many of you CEOs have proposed reducing people to part time levels and adding equity compensation instead of releasing them all together?

6.    Economy-related questions

  • •    When do you predict the market conditions to take a turn for the better?

There a few industry-specific questions CEOs wanted to ask their peer as well:

Life sciences/biotech-related questions

  • •    What kind of deal structures are you seeing in liquidity-directed partnerships? What kind of partnerships, if any, are you envisioning for discovery stage assets?

Medical devices-related questions

  • •    How do you expect reimbursement to be influenced during the next administration?
Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • RSS
  • Reddit
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Print

Recession just in New York? A business traveler reports on ROW [rest of world]

I’ve had the opportunity to be in Asia (Hong Kong and Singapore), Silicon Valley, Boston, New York, and Europe in the last 2 months of this year.  Most of the community I’ve been with has either been technology or science-based entrepreneurs, venture capitalists and other institutional investors banking those start-ups, or professional services providers helping fast-growth companies hit their various milestones.  It struck me that I’d had the opportunity to sample how each community, country, culture, or continent was responding.

Asian perspective: “We’ve had tsunamis, bird flu, SARS, and financial crises like the Asian flu (1997 financial crisis), and this recession that’s hitting us now is likely worse than all those combined.”  U.S. and European entrepreneurs who were offshoring their manufacturing were saying that getting products prototyped in mainland China– something that used to be a problem because start-up run lengths were too short– was no problem at all.  Vast numbers of factories were laying off workers, and these same factories were more than willing to start with shorter runs and low/no guarantees to help offset the freefall in the manufacturing sector there.

Silicon Valley: Suffice it to say, out at dinner on a Monday night at a restaurant called A16 in the Marina District in San Francisco, there was no sign of recession.  We had a 7pm reservation, and almost got waved off for being 15 minutes fashionably late,  getting the last table squeezed in amongst the revelers.  Consumers were showing no spending fatigue.  Out near Sand Hill Road, it was a bit of a different story.  A few investors were shorting the stock market with their personal money, but still emphasizing that this was the time to do seed and Series A investments.  All in all, as is typical for Northern California, optimism abounded.

Boston:  Here, it sounds much more like Asia:  pull in all investing.  Only add follow-on investment to your own portfolio.  If you do invest, the going rate in some VC circles was rumored to be, “new valuation pre-money is equal to the amount of last money in.”  In other words, if the last round was $15 million, that would be the valuation, no matter how much had preceded it.  CEOs in Boston are talking about the return of “vulture capital.”  In the parking lot of a commuter rail train station, one late-night rider yelled back to another who was also getting off at the same stop, “What you doing getting home so late?” The response– “Went out with some of the people from work who got laid off today.  Cut 15 or 20.”  The first commuter answered back, “Yeah, layoff at our work today as well, but no one went out.  Stayed and worked late.”

New York: Quiet.  For the city that never sleeps, there was a really good imitation of somnambulism.  Everyone seemed to have had a prolonged Ambien moment.   The epicenter of the financial crisis seems to have brought down virtually every other sector along with it.

Europe: Or, more specifically, the UK.  With the Sterling down, and the second biggest stock market suffering similar downdrafts as that of the U.S., it’s also really quiet.  Unlike the last recession brought on by the dot-com bubble burst where Europe lagged a full 6 to 12 months behind in its slowdown, the UK in particular has suffered almost simultaneous with the U.S.

Ultimately, this was the take-away for me– no matter whether I traveled 3 thousand miles west, or 15 thousand miles east, the speed at which this downturn has traveled was faster than any plane I could catch.  It had beat me to each continent I landed on, each city I was doing business in.

As we cruise into the New Year, my wish is a hope that the recovery is also as globally instantaneous.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • RSS
  • Reddit
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Print

VC-backed CEO Survey– Recession-proofing for ‘09?

With everyone in the growth-stage tech and sciences sector battening down the hatches in advance of the continued buffeting the innovation sector is expecting in 2009, we launched an online survey of VC-backed CEOs to take the temperature.   Suffice it to say, the answers, not counter-intuitive, were all various versions of “cold.”

A total of about 60 CEOs responded over the last 10 days, across various industry sectors, more than 90% of respondents located in the Northeast U.S.

The first question and responses show that almost half of the companies have already taken preemptive downsizing measures.  It appears that more than 40% of venture-backed CEOs in their leadership wisdom have already in the last several months made adjustments.  And 10% more are looking to do so in the next 30 days or so.

The question that wasn’t asked but we’ll try to do a follow up around is, “When would you make a second round of cuts, and what economic or other indicators would you look at and need to see move more negatively to make these cuts?”

In a quick analysis, given survey responses, it appears the bell curve peak is in the 20-40% reduction in headcount.  The group of CEOs who indicated these reductions were approximately half of the 60 CEO respondents.

  • 40% or more staff reductions? ~ 10% of total CEOs surveyed

•    Less than 20% staff reductions? ~ About 17% of all CEO respondents

Share and Enjoy:
  • Twitter
  • Facebook
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • RSS
  • Reddit
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Print
Newer Posts »